“For here we are not afraid to follow the truth wherever it may lead, nor to tolerate any error so long as reason is left free to combat it.” (Thomas Jefferson)
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Scripture of the day:
Isaiah 29: 9-10—“Be delayed and wait, blind yourselves and be blind; they become drunk, but not with wine, they stagger, but not with strong drink. For Yahweh has poured over you a spirit of deep sleep, He has shut your eyes, the prophets; and He has covered your heads, the seers.”
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“My people are destroyed for lack of knowledge.” (Hosea 4: 6)
News Items of Interest:
SnyderTalk Commentary: When university professors take public money for their research, the very least they should do is follow common research protocol. Sharing your data and your methods with other researchers so they can replicate your work is a long-standing, standard practice. It’s basic. Not adhering to simple rules is a red flag. It may indicate that the researcher is trying to hide something. We now know beyond any shadow of a doubt that climate scientists who fall into the “man-made global warming is destroying the planet” camp did, in fact, try to hide data that didn’t support their strongly-held but unsupported beliefs. There should be consequences.
This particular case bothers me for another reason. The scientist in question was a faculty member at UVA at the time of the alleged infraction. That’s my school. If Professor Mann tried to hide his data and his methods from other researchers, he violated a sacred trust that has been handed down since the day Thomas Jefferson founded the university. I urge UVA’s top administrators to cooperate fully with the Virginia attorney general, but they should do even more. They need to examine the practices that allowed this travesty to occur under the noses of administrators and faculty.
It’s possible, even likely, that there is a bigger problem at UVA than we know about. As providence would have it, a new UVA president will take the helm in a few days. If there is corruption at the school, she needs to know about it and deal with it. Great universities have a duty to rid themselves of liars, cheats, and thieves and people who condone those behaviors. UVA’s Honor Code and good sense demand it. At this critical time, a little due diligence is in order.
A Statue of Thomas Jefferson in Front of The Rotunda at UVA
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- Column One: Netanyahu, Obama’s newest prop
- Netanyahu to ask Obama to block measures against Israel over nukes
- ANALYSIS / U.S. sacrificed Israel for success of NPT conference
- Israel rejects call to join anti-nuclear treaty
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- The storm ahead
- Hezbollah operating Scud missiles from Syria, Netanyahu claims
- East Jerusalem eviction orders threaten new embarrassment for Netanyahu
- Hamas: Flotilla shows whole world opposes Gaza siege
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- MESS Report / Aid flotilla won’t alter the humanitarian situation in Gaza
- N.Y. activists: Siege on Gaza isn’t sweet, boycott Max Brenner
- Obama gets lawmakers’ okay on boosting Israel against rockets
- And how is the army doing?
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- IAF targets tunnel, weapons manufacturing site in Gaza air strike
- Meshal: Israel is the main obstacle to Mideast peace
- ‘Netanyahu not a real peace partner’
- For Netanyahu in Washington, third time looks like being the charm
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- PM: I will reduce economic concentration this year
- Still Stuck in ’64
- Frank Data: How Federal Policy Triggered the Mortgage Meltdown
- As Economic Worries Worsen, White House Puts on the Glitz
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- U.S. Quietly Starts Missile Defense Program for Gulf
- When Bibi Meets Barack: What Will Happen in Their Upcoming Meeting
- BP’s top kill effort fails to plug Gulf oil leak
- AP ENTERPRISE: Spill grew, BP’s credibility faded
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- Thousands of immigration law opponents march in AZ
- Police: Lahore attackers were Pakistani Taliban
- Under pressure, Malawi’s leader pardons gay couple
- Options studied for a possible Pakistan strike
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- China faces South Korea, Japan pressure over North Korea
- Economy, immigration drive California governor race
- U.S. may choose lead bank on GM IPO next week: report
- Congressional Democrats downshift on spending, cut provisions to jobs bill
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- What sites such as Facebook and Google know and whom they tell
- Oil spreading much farther than thought; Obama returns to Gulf Coast
- Birnbaum ‘took fall’ after MMS played catch-up after lapses in ethics, oversight
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SEPP SCIENCE EDITORIAL #17-2010 (May 29, 2010)
By S. Fred Singer, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project
ClimateGate Reconsidered
An Open Letter to Prof Edward Acton, Vice Chancellor, University of East Anglia, UK
Dear Prof. Acton:
After careful study, I have reached the conclusion that the CRU temperature trends published by Prof. Phil Jones of UEA (and used by the IPCC) are spurious and should be corrected. Instead of the major warming that’s been claimed between 1979 and 1996 (the crucial period), the actual warming seems to be minor or even close to zero.
This matter is of extreme importance since international policies concerning climate change are based on the Jones analysis—and equivalent analyses in the US.
I base my conclusion on the following evidence:
- Weather satellites are the most reliable source of global temperature observations, with all data analysis and corrections fully transparent. They show essentially a zero rise in atmospheric temperatures during most of the crucial period (1979-1996). And basic atmospheric physics tells us that the temperature trends at the earth’s surface must be less, roughly only half of the atmospheric trends.
- Furthermore, all proxy data I have seen show no significant temperature rise during this same period. Recall that Michael Mann’s multi-proxy analysis suddenly stops in 1979.
As a scientist, I am mainly concerned with the truth of the data and the consequences for future climate change. Of course, as a member of the public, I cannot ignore the policy consequences—nor should any citizen/voter.
It seems to me that it is your responsibility to investigate whether and to what extent Dr. Jones’ judgment in the selection and in the correction of the raw data was influenced by any desire to see a particular outcome—namely, a strong warming.
In other words, the selection process (i.e., which data to use and which to reject) involved setting explicit or implicit criteria, based on “judgment.” Similarly, deciding on the type and degree of correction (for example, for urban heat island effects or other kinds of contamination) involved setting certain criteria based on the judgment of the analyst.
Analysts can make different choices in the complex process of choosing input data, adjusting raw station data for known inhomogeneities (such as urbanization effects, changes in instrumentation, site location, and observation time), and gridding procedures.
On this matter, I confess to certain sympathies for Dr Jones, who has devoted his lifetime career to this important task. Yet the search for scientific truth must be paramount.
I hope you will enlist credible experts to help you and I wish you much success as you undertake this daunting task.
Sincerely,
S. Fred Singer
Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia
Former Director of the US Weather Satellite Service
Recent Climate Change Articles:
- Greenhouse Gases Aren’t Warming Earth
- Latest climate climbdown: the Royal Society review its statements on global warming
- The Drill Is Gone
- This and That On Climate
- BP and the Climategate Inquiry
- Climate Fears Turn to Doubts Among Britons
- Climategate and the Scientific Elite
- Don’t sweat it
- NASA accused of ‘Climategate’ stalling
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